Analysis: US Report Highlights China's 2027 Taiwan Invasion Timeline
A recent US Defense Department report warns of China’s expanding military capabilities, outlining Beijing’s 2027 timeline for Taiwan and possible types of attack. TaiwanPlus spoke with Shen Ming-shih, a defense analyst at the Institute for National Defense and Security Research, for insight into the report.
Potential Timeline and Triggers for a PLA Invasion of Taiwan
REPORTER:
I think, uh, timeline of 2027 is not the main point, the real invasion time I think is the timing. Timing means not only the timeline, but maybe some events or something happened and then maybe the PLA will invade Taiwan.
First timing is that when United States abandoned Taiwan or quit or abandoned Taiwan or not support Taiwan, maybe China will get this chance to invade Taiwan.
Second timing is, , when China, military, PLA, believe, full of confidence that they can defeat United States military,
The third timing is when Taiwan defense capability is very weak and let the PLA, China military think that invade, attack Taiwan or occupy Taiwan very easy.
Among these operations, among these ways, uh, big scale amphibious landing, uh, is more seriously because you need to prepare for a long time, and then China maybe will pay a huge war cost in this operation. So, maybe before the landing, China also will use their air force or naval ship to take some joint fire strike and then attack the Taiwan military or civilian people, a huge casualty.
