In this episode of Taiwan Talks, we take a deep dive into war game simulations by the U.S. House Committee and CSIS, predicting the potential outcomes of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. We discuss the simulations, what message they send and how the international community will likely respond. We also touch on the impact of U.S. arms aid for Taiwan.
Chapters:
0:00 Introduction
0:44 War Games Simulation Results
2:40 War Game Designs
3:50 Past Examples of War Games
9:30 War Games Implications
12:30 War Games as a Deterrence
17:59 Economic Impact of a Taiwan Invasion
20:48 William Chih-tung Chung: Japan's role in China's invasion of Taiwan
25:20 ‘Davidson Timeline’ explained
28:30 Will China invade Taiwan by 2027?
31:18 U.S. role in the Han Kuang Exercises
40:35 Recent U.S. Arm Sales
43:55 Differences in Arms Sales Between Biden and Trump Administration
44:52 U.S. Arms Delivery Delays
26:00
24:16
25:06
26:47
25:17
23:17
23:56
24:48
24:56
26:46
25:01
24:56
26:09
26:47
25:31
26:15