Today, we’re going back to basics on deterrence: capability, credibility and communication. We’re asking whether Taiwan can build enough deterrence before 2027, the year that Xi Jinping has asked his military to prepare for a Taiwan contingency. We also take a look at the Israeli Defense Force and Swiss Army for any lessons.
Chapters WITH MUSIC
0 – Introduction
01:22 3Cs of preventing enemy action
02:38 How do Taiwan and China score?
10:43 Taiwan’s indigenous air defense system
13:00 How important are offensive weapons to Taiwan?
23:22 Volcano anti-tank mine laying system
30:35 A look at Israel’s defense force
31:37 Taiwan’s bootcamp for elite frogmen
33:44 U.S. training for Taiwan under NDAA
41:39 The Swiss Army’s formidable reputation
42:56 How powerful are credibility, communication?
Other topics covered:
• Deterrence according to the United States military should be based on capability, credibility, and communication – or the 3C’s
• “Road to Heaven” plays in Taiwan’s toughest navy bootcamp
• How Taiwan’s indigenous “Tien Kong” or “Sky Bow” missile systems are being repositioned to better protect Taiwan
• Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov’s quote about NATO: “They didn’t want to give us heavy artillery, then they did. They didn’t want to give us HIMARS, then they did. They didn’t want to give us tanks, then they did.”
Our panelists on the show are:
• Guermantes Lailari a retired US Air force Foreign Area Officer specializing in counterterrorism, irregular warfare, and missile defense. He was an United States Air Force Attaché in the Middle East, and served in Iraq. Taiwan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs sponsored him as a Taiwan Fellow during 2022 and he will continue his research in 2023 at National ChengChi University in Taipei.
• Vincent Chao a Taipei City Councilor, and former Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office or TECRO US Political Division Director. He is also currently Adjunct Fellow at CSIS’s Asia Program and China Power Project
And earlier our political editor, Rath Wang, spoke with:
• Wang Ting-yu, Democratic Progressive Party Legislator, and the Convenor of the Legislative Yuan’s Foreign and National Defense Committee
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