Davidson Window in Doubt: Will China Invade Taiwan in 2027?
A new US intelligence assessment is challenging one of the most widely cited timelines in Indo-Pacific security: the “Davidson Window.” For years, 2027 has been seen as a potential deadline for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan — but Washington now says Beijing has no fixed timeline. Does this signal reduced risk, or a more complex and long-term strategy? As China continues to build military capabilities while emphasizing “peaceful unification,” the ambiguity raises difficult questions about deterrence and preparedness. In this episode, we examine the origins of the 2027 timeline, why US assessments may be shifting, and whether Taiwan is truly safer — or facing a more uncertain and evolving strategic threat. *Recorded on March 26, 2026 at 3:15pm Taiwan Standard Time Host: Wen-Ti Sung Producer: Tina Hsu Our guests: Roy Kamphausen - National Bureau of Asian Research Special Advisor and Former President Andrew Yeh - China Strategic Risks Institute Executive Director
